An early, more active tornado season ahead? Not necessarily, forecasters say

KMBZ News Staff
March 05, 2020 - 6:18 am
Tornado in Kansas Field

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KANSAS CITY, Mo. -- A report from AccuWeather indicates that southern, Midweste and plains states, including Kansas and Missouri, could be in for an earlier and more viscous tornado season. But forecasters closer to home say their spring weather outlook shows that it's not clear at all that's what we're in for here in the Kansas City metro.

"There's a lot of thing that go into that, it's the global atmospheric circulation pattern and how that's forecast to change from some of our climate models," National Weather Warning Coordination Meteorologist Andy Bailey told KMBZ. "As well as the state of what various ocean circulations are doing."

After a massive tornado ripped through Nashville killing more than two dozen and injuring many others on Super Tuesday, some have begun to wonder if that storm a harbinger of things to come in Kansas City. Bailey said it may seem like an early tornado, but the data paint a different picture.  

"This happened in the early morning of Super Tuesday, right? Back in 2008, also on Super Tuesday, there was a large tornado outbreak that struck the Memphis and northern Mississippi area," Bailey explained. 

While it's difficult to discern right now if this spring will be more active for tornadoes in our area, forecasters do think its likely we'll have a wetter than normal spring. That means it's possible will have more tornadoes this year, but it's too early to tell just yet. 

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